📅 Date: 28/12/2024, 15:00h
🏟️ Stadium: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)
🏆 Serie – Matchday 18
Estimated Probabilities for Outcomes and Bets:
| Outcome/Bet | Estimated Probability |
|---|
| 🏆 Empoli to Win | 38% ❌ |
| 🤝 Draw | 35% |
| ⚽ Genoa to Win | 27% |
| 🔼 Over 2.5 Goals | 30% |
| 🔽 Under 2.5 Goals | 70% ❌ |
| ⚽ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | 45% |
🎯 Top 3 Most Probable Correct Scores
| Correct Score ❌ | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 Draw Win | 20% |
| 1-0 Empoli Win | 15% |
| 0-1 Genoa Win | 10% |
Betting Strategy:
Betting Strategy: Empoli vs. Genoa
— PICK-IA (@pick_ia) December 28, 2024
Stake:
💰 50% – Empoli to Win
⚽ 20% – BTTS: Yes
🎯 10% – Exact Result (1-1, 1-0, 0-1)
📉 10% – Asian Handicap +1.5 Genoa
📈 10% – Asian Handicap +0.5 Empoli
🛡️ 5% – Double Chance (Empoli or Draw)@EmpoliFC #EmpoliGenoa @GenoaCFC @bet365_es
To provide a balanced betting strategy, we recommend spreading the investment across different outcomes to manage risk and maximize potential returns.
Betting Strategy:
| Bet | Percentage | Capital Allocated (UM) |
|---|
| 🏆 Empoli Win | 45% ❌ | 45 UM |
| 🔥 Both Teams to Score (BTTS: Yes) | 10% ✅ | 10 UM |
| 🎯 Exact Result (1-0/1-1/0-1) | 15% ❌ | 10 UM |
| ✅ Asian Handicap + 0.5 Empoli | 10% ❌ | 10 UM |
| ✅ Asian Handicap +1.5 Genoa | 15% ✅ | 15 UM |
| 🔒 Double Chance (Empoli or Draw) | 5% ❌ | 5 UM |