📅 Date: 04/01/2024, 18:30h
🏟️ Stadium: Amex Stadium (Brighton)
🏆 Premier League – Matchday 20
Estimated Probabilities for Outcomes and Bets:
| Outcome/Bet | Estimated Probability |
|---|
| 🏆 Arsenal to Win | 55% Incorrect |
| 🤝 Draw | 25% |
| ⚽ Brighton to Win | 20% |
| 🔼 Over 2.5 Goals | 45% |
| 🔽 Under 2.5 Goals | 55% Correct |
| ⚽ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | 40% Incorrect |
🎯 Top 3 Most Probable Correct Scores
| Correct Score | Estimated Probability |
|---|---|
| 0-1 Arsenal Win | 20% |
| 1-2 Arsenal Win | 15% |
| 1-1 Draw | 10% Correct |
Betting Strategy:
Brighton vs. Arsenal: Prediction
— PICK-IA (@pick_ia) January 4, 2025
Stake:
Arsenal to Win: 55%
Both Teams to Score (NO): 20%
Score (0-2, 1-2, 1-1): 15%
✅ Asian Handicap +1.5 Brighton: 5%
✅ Asian Handicap -0.5 Arsenal: 5%
🛡️ Double Chan (Arsenal or Draw): 5%@premierleague @Arsenal @OfficialBHAFC #BHAFC
💡 Brighton vs. Arsenal Recap
The match ended 1-1, and we hit the exact score and the Asian Handicap +1.5 for Brighton. While not all predictions were correct, we remain in overall profit thanks to our solid risk management. Let’s keep betting smart!
To provide a balanced betting strategy, we recommend spreading the investment across different outcomes to manage risk and maximize potential returns.
Betting Strategy:
| Bet | Percentage stake | Capital Allocated (UM) |
|---|
| 🏆 Arsenal to Win | 50% Incorrect | 50 UM |
| 🔥 Both Teams to Score: (NO ) | 20% Incorrect | 20 UM |
| Exact Result: 0-1 1-2 1-1 | 10% Correct | 10 UM |
| ✅ Asian Handicap +1 Brighton | 5% – Correct | 5 UM |
| ✅ Asian Handicap -0.5 Arsenal | 5% – Incorrect | 5 UM |
| 🔒 Double Chance (Arsenal or Draw) | 5% Correct | 5 UM |